2024 NFL Preview: New Orleans Saints vs. Dallas Cowboys with Betting Insights

The Saints take on the Cowboys in what should be an intriguing matchup. Both teams are riding different waves of momentum, with the Saints coming off a high-scoring performance last week, while the Cowboys deal with a slew of injuries that could impact their offensive firepower. From a fantasy football perspective, this game has some notable elements, especially when it comes to quarterback play, wide receiver matchups, and the running back committee. And, of course, we’ll explore the betting angles to keep an eye on.

Can the Saints’ Offense Keep Rolling?

The Saints scored heavily last week, but the real question is whether that offensive outburst was legitimate or simply a product of their opponent’s mistakes. The Carolina Panthers consistently gave the Saints favorable field position, making it easy for Derek Carr and company to capitalize. While they took advantage of the situation, there’s reason to question whether they can replicate that success against a much tougher Cowboys defense.

Alvin Kamara is a focal point in the Saints’ backfield, but he faces a Dallas defense that ranks among the best in limiting rushing yards. This could force the Saints to rely more on Carr and the passing game, especially if Dallas builds an early lead.

Betting Insight: The over/under for this game could be tricky, given that New Orleans may struggle to repeat its high-scoring performance. Consider betting the under, especially if you believe the Cowboys’ defense will contain the Saints’ offense and limit their scoring opportunities.

Dallas Cowboys: Injuries Could Open Opportunities

The Cowboys have been dealing with injuries, most notably at tight end, where Jake Ferguson is doubtful. With Ferguson likely out, Dallas will lean heavily on wide receiver CeeDee Lamb and veteran wideout Brandin Cooks. Without Ferguson in the lineup, rookie tight end Luke Schoonmaker could see more snaps, but he’s not a fantasy option worth considering unless you’re in a deep league and desperate for a tight end fill-in.

Fantasy Consideration: Ezekiel Elliott is expected to split carries with Rico Dowdle, and while Elliott remains a touchdown-dependent option, he’s a low-end starter at best. If you’re playing Elliott, you’re banking on him finding the end zone, as his volume likely won’t be enough to rack up fantasy points through yardage alone.

Betting Insight: If you’re betting on player props, Lamb is a strong candidate to go over on receiving yards. With Ferguson out, Lamb should see an uptick in targets. Additionally, keep an eye on any touchdown props for Elliott—while risky, betting on him to score could pay off given his role in red-zone situations.

Start or Sit: Derek Carr and Saints Receivers

Carr has been steady but unspectacular this season. He’ll need to air it out against a Dallas defense that can stop the run but is more vulnerable through the air. For fantasy managers, this makes Olave a must-start, as he’s established himself as a top target in the Saints’ offense. Olave remains a borderline WR1, and in most leagues, you won’t have the luxury of benching him.

Rashid Shaheed could also be a sneaky fantasy play this week, particularly in games where the Saints are playing from behind and Carr needs to throw to keep up with Dallas. Shaheed’s speed makes him a deep-threat option, and with Dallas likely focusing on stopping Olave, Shaheed could get a few big plays downfield.

Fantasy Insight: Taysom Hill is the ultimate boom-or-bust fantasy tight end, as he’s used in a variety of roles. If you’re thin at the tight end position and Hill is available, he’s worth starting over lesser options. You never know if this could be one of those games where Hill runs in a touchdown or catches a trick-play pass.

Betting Insight: If you’re eyeing player props for the Saints, Olave’s receiving yards or receptions could be a safe bet. With the Saints likely needing to throw, Olave should see plenty of targets. For more adventurous bettors, consider taking an anytime touchdown scorer bet on Hill, especially if you think New Orleans will find creative ways to keep him involved.

Cowboys’ Defense vs. Saints’ Passing Attack

The Cowboys defense is tough to beat, but if the Saints can force Dak Prescott and the Cowboys into a shootout, this could turn into a more high-flying affair than expected. Dallas will look to establish the run early, but if they fail to gain momentum on the ground, Prescott may need to take more shots downfield.

With Ferguson out, it’s clear that someone other than Lamb will need to step up for Dallas. Cooks is the obvious candidate, and he remains a sneaky DFS play, given his big-play potential. While Prescott may not put up massive numbers, he should be a low-end QB1, especially with his ability to scramble and pick up yards on the ground.

Betting Insight: If Dallas controls the game early, they’ll likely manage the clock with their run game, making the Saints’ chances of hitting the over on their total points slim. Betting on Dallas to cover the spread could be smart, especially if they’re favored by a reasonable margin.

Conclusion: Betting on Dallas with Caution

The Saints-Cowboys game could be a tale of two defenses. While the Saints put up big points last week, don’t expect the same result against a stingy Cowboys defense. Conversely, Dallas will need to overcome injuries and focus on their run game, but they should have enough firepower to win.

If you’re betting on this game, taking Dallas to cover the spread might be the safest bet, particularly if their defense can slow down Carr and the Saints’ offense. Additionally, consider the under on total points, as this game could feature more defense than expected. Lastly, in fantasy football, look for safer options like Lamb and Olave, while avoiding risky plays like Elliott unless you’re in a bind.